Allwin Telecommunication Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002231) Shares May Have Slumped 29% But Getting In Cheap Is Still Unlikely

The Allwin Telecommunication Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002231) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 29%. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 42% share price drop.

Even after such a large drop in price, when almost half of the companies in China’s Communications industry have price-to-sales ratios (or “P/S”) below 3.9x, you may still consider Allwin Telecommunication as a stock not worth researching with its 10.4x P/S ratio. Although, it’s not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it’s so lofty.

See our latest analysis for Allwin Telecommunication

What Does Allwin Telecommunication’s Recent Performance Look Like?

For instance, Allwin Telecommunication’s receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn’t the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

We don’t have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Allwin Telecommunication’s earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Allwin Telecommunication?

The only time you’d be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Allwin Telecommunication’s is when the company’s growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 66% decrease to the company’s top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 54% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry’s one-year forecast for expansion of 50% shows it’s an unpleasant look.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Allwin Telecommunication’s P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company’s business prospects. There’s a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Allwin Telecommunication’s P/S

A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate Allwin Telecommunication’s very lofty P/S. It’s argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our examination of Allwin Telecommunication revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn’t resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders’ investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we’ve discovered 1 warning sign for Allwin Telecommunication that you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.