Analyst Thinks Generative AI Will Push Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:META) Stock Higher

June 7, 2024

21 4 minutes read

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We recently published a list of top 10 AI stocks Wall Street analysts are upgrading. Meta Platforms ranks 2nd in the list. That’s why the stock deserves a deeper look.

There has been much uproar about AI stock valuations and how investors are overpaying for mega-cap tech stocks that are promising something that still lies far into the future — productivity gains, real-life AI products and AGI. But the market doesn’t seem to care what the AI skeptics and naysayers believe. There seems to be no end in sight to the AI-led gains in stocks. And analysts are expecting more. Goldman Sachs’s Scott Rubner recently said that he sees a “wall of money” heading towards the market. Rubner pointed towards the whopping $7.3 trillion sitting in money market funds and said he believes the floodgates are about to open and investors would funnel that money into stocks. According to Rubner’s model, the third quarter of 2024 is when we should expect billions ($29 billion, to be precise) to be flushed into the market.

One doesn’t need to have a crystal ball to know where all of those billions would be headed. AI is the promising theme everyone is betting on and that everyone includes experts, billionaires, money managers and long-term value investors. Tom Lee, Fundstrat Global Advisors co-founder, recently said in a program on CNBC that investors have been “hesitant” for much of the year, but they should just “stick” with “what’s working.” AI, weight loss drugs and related themes is what’s working these days, according to Lee.

Photo by Chris Liverani on Unsplash

Methodology

For this article we picked the top AI stocks Wall Street analysts recently upgraded or gave bullish comments about. With each stock we have mentioned the number of hedge fund investors. Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).

Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:META)

Number of Hedge Fund Investors: 246

Raymond James recently upgraded Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:META) shares citing Meta Platforms Inc’s (NASDAQ:META) generative AI ambitions. The firm’s analyst Josh Beck increased his price target on the stock to $550 from $525. Why is Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:META) a promising AI stock? The social media giant is using AI for optimizing ad targeting and recommendation systems to boost engagement and ads revenue. In the first quarter, Meta Platforms Inc’s (NASDAQ:META) revenue jumped 27% to $36.5 billion. A whopping 97% of this revenue came courtesy of ads. In 2024, Meta Platforms Inc’s (NASDAQ:META) ads revenue is expected to rise by 17%. Reels, which is posting solid numbers and engagement lately, saw a 20% ad load in the first quarter, compared with 16.2% in the same quarter last year. Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:META) recently posted speculator Q1 results but the stock slipped after the company revealed that Meta Platforms Inc’s (NASDAQ:META) CapEx will come in the range of $35 billion to $40 billion, higher than the previous forecast of $30 billion to $37 billion. However, long-term analysts believe since most of this spending will go into AI projects, it’ll bode well for the stock down the road.

Based on its 2025 EPS estimate of $23.11 set by Wall Street, Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:META) is trading at a forward P/E of 21, which makes the stock attractively valued given Meta Platforms Inc’s (NASDAQ:META) earnings are expected to grow 14.50% next year and by 30% over the next five years on a per-annum basis.

RiverPark Large Growth Fund stated the following regarding Meta Platforms, Inc. (NASDAQ:META) in its first quarter 2024 investor letter:

“Meta Platforms, Inc. (NASDAQ:META): Meta was a top contributor in the quarter following fourth quarter earnings results in which the company reported accelerating revenue growth and expanding margins driven by a rebound in online advertising and strong user growth. On February 2nd, Meta reported 4Q23 revenue of $40.1 billion (+25% y/y up from +23% in 3Q23) and EPS of $5.33 (+203% y/y), and the midpoint of 1Q24 revenue guidance was $35.8 billion (+25% y/y), all well ahead of investors’ expectations. The company reported impressive revenue acceleration in its core advertising businesses, including new products like Reels and Threads. Advertiser adoption of Meta’s AI targeting tools helped drive strong ROI and higher spend across multiple categories.

META owns multiple social media platforms, each with more than one billion users, has an 81% gross margin, and generated $44 billion of FCF in 2023. Both its Facebook and its Instagram franchises have more than 2 billion Daily Active Users and generate the bulk of the company’s revenue. Recently, the company’s short form video offering, Reels, and public text-sharing app, Threads, achieved mass user engagement and growing advertiser adoption which have helped return the company to strong revenue and free cash flow growth. Even after the recent stock price advance, META shares trade at 20x Wall Street’s consensus estimates for 2025 EPS, estimates that we think could prove to be too low.”

Overall, Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:META) ranks 2nd in Insider Monkey’s list of Analysts are Upgrading These 10 AI Stocks. You can visit Analysts are Upgrading These 10 AI Stocks to see the other AI stocks stocks that are on the hedge fund radar. While we acknowledge the potential of META, our conviction lies in the belief that other AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than META but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.