Are Singapore Telecommunications Limited’s (SGX:Z74) Fundamentals Good Enough to Warrant Buying Given The Stock’s Recent Weakness?
It is hard to get excited after looking at Singapore Telecommunications’ (SGX:Z74) recent performance, when its stock has declined 1.7% over the past month. However, the company’s fundamentals look pretty decent, and long-term financials are usually aligned with future market price movements. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Singapore Telecommunications’ ROE today.
Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.
View our latest analysis for Singapore Telecommunications
How Is ROE Calculated?
Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders’ Equity
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Singapore Telecommunications is:
12% = S$3.1b ÷ S$27b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).
The ‘return’ is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. That means that for every SGD1 worth of shareholders’ equity, the company generated SGD0.12 in profit.
What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?
Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or “retains” for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don’t have the same features.
Singapore Telecommunications’ Earnings Growth And 12% ROE
To begin with, Singapore Telecommunications seems to have a respectable ROE. Even when compared to the industry average of 12% the company’s ROE looks quite decent. Despite the moderate return on equity, Singapore Telecommunications has posted a net income growth of 4.8% over the past five years. So, there could be some other factors at play that could be impacting the company’s growth. For instance, the company pays out a huge portion of its earnings as dividends, or is faced with competitive pressures.
Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Singapore Telecommunications’ reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 13% over the last few years, which is not something we like to see.
Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Singapore Telecommunications is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.
Is Singapore Telecommunications Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?
The high three-year median payout ratio of 73% (that is, the company retains only 27% of its income) over the past three years for Singapore Telecommunications suggests that the company’s earnings growth was lower as a result of paying out a majority of its earnings.
In addition, Singapore Telecommunications has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth. Upon studying the latest analysts’ consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 81% of its profits over the next three years. As a result, Singapore Telecommunications’ ROE is not expected to change by much either, which we inferred from the analyst estimate of 10% for future ROE.
Summary
Overall, we feel that Singapore Telecommunications certainly does have some positive factors to consider. Yet, the low earnings growth is a bit concerning, especially given that the company has a high rate of return. Investors could have benefitted from the high ROE, had the company been reinvesting more of its earnings. As discussed earlier, the company is retaining a small portion of its profits. Having said that, on studying current analyst estimates, we were concerned to see that while the company has grown its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to shrink in the future. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company’s fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst’s forecasts page for the company.
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Find out whether Singapore Telecommunications is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
