The Strong Earnings Posted By Chongqing Changan Automobile (SZSE:000625) Are A Good Indication Of The Strength Of The Business
Even though Chongqing Changan Automobile Company Limited’s (SZSE:000625) recent earnings release was robust, the market didn’t seem to notice. Our analysis suggests that investors might be missing some promising details.
Check out our latest analysis for Chongqing Changan Automobile
A Closer Look At Chongqing Changan Automobile’s Earnings
Many investors haven’t heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company’s profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company’s profit exceeds its FCF.
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it’s worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
For the year to December 2023, Chongqing Changan Automobile had an accrual ratio of -0.84. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. To wit, it produced free cash flow of CN¥17b during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of CN¥11.3b. Chongqing Changan Automobile shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months. However, that’s not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit
Surprisingly, given Chongqing Changan Automobile’s accrual ratio implied strong cash conversion, its paper profit was actually boosted by CN¥1.9b in unusual items. We can’t deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we’d prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that’s exactly what the accounting terminology implies. We can see that Chongqing Changan Automobile’s positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to December 2023. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.
Our Take On Chongqing Changan Automobile’s Profit Performance
In conclusion, Chongqing Changan Automobile’s accrual ratio suggests its statutory earnings are of good quality, but on the other hand the profits were boosted by unusual items. Based on these factors, it’s hard to tell if Chongqing Changan Automobile’s profits are a reasonable reflection of its underlying profitability. If you’d like to know more about Chongqing Changan Automobile as a business, it’s important to be aware of any risks it’s facing. For instance, we’ve identified 3 warning signs for Chongqing Changan Automobile (1 shouldn’t be ignored) you should be familiar with.
Our examination of Chongqing Changan Automobile has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.
Valuation is complex, but we’re helping make it simple.
Find out whether Chongqing Changan Automobile is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
